Future of Eurasian and European Integration: Foresight–2040

From 4 December 2017 until 8 December 2017 IIASA (Laxenburg, Austria) hosted the international youth forum “Future of Eurasian and European Integration: Foresight-2040” as part of the IIASA Futures Initiative Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a wider European and Eurasian Space.
 
 
As part of IIASA’s science-diplomacy mandate, in the current time of geopolitical crisis, 40 talented young minds, together with senior experts and high-level policy makers from the European Union (EU), the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), the Commonwealth of Independent States, East- and South-East Asia were invited in a vibrant brainstorming on possible futures of the Greater Eurasian space in 2040 in economic, humanitarian and security dimensions. Demographic changes, digitalization of economy, emerging technologies such as block chains & 3D printing are all great challenges, which the next generations will have to face.

The event was co-organized and co-financed by IIASA together with the initiator of the forum – the Institute for Economic Strategies (INES) of the Russian Academy of Sciences – with the financial support of the Russian Gorchakov Public Diplomacy Fund.

A distinct organizational and intellectual contribution to the forum  was made by Yuri Kofner, head, Eurasian sector, CCEIS, Higher School of Economics. A selected group of HSE students and guest reasearchers of the Eurasian sector, HSE also took part in the conference.

The forum inspired young researchers from different countries to come up with their vision of the future of Eurasian and European integration at the turn of 2040 and to reflect on what their own contribution might be. The foresight sessions were held in a format of a dynamic strategic game, where young participants were exposed to presentations and interactive seminars by senior experts and high-level policy makers.

The senior experts and high-level policy makers teaching and guiding the young leaders were: Ageev Alexander, Director General, Institute for Economic Strategies, Russian Academy of Sciences, Director General, International Scientific Research Institute for Management Problems, Professor, Academician of the European Academy of Natural Sciences, doctor of economics; H.E. Akaev Askar, President of the Kyrgyz Republic in 1990-2005, Scientific Director, Research Laboratory for monitoring the risks of socio-political destabilization, National Research University “Higher School of Economics”, Foreign Member, Russian Academy of Sciences, Academician, Kyrgyz Academy of Sciences; Belousova Marina, Manager, Crowdfunding projects, Russian Agency of Information Society Develoment; Havlik Peter, Senior Economist, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, Guest Research Scholar, IIASA; Hofer Andrea, Specialist, European Affairs and International Financial Organizations Division, Austrian National Bank; Ilmola-Sheppard Leena, Senior Research Scholar, Advanced Systems Analysis, IIASA, Ph. D.; Kabat Pavel, Director General and CEO, IIASA, Professor, Doctor of Science; Kofner Yuri, Guest Research Assistant, Advanced Systems Analysis, Head, Eurasian sector, Centre for Complex European and International Studies, National Research University “Higher School of Economics”; Komendantova-Amann Nadezhda, Research Scholar, Risk and Resilience, IIASA; Krylov Sergey, Vice President, Siemens LLC in Russia, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia (1993 – 1996); Mkrtchyan Emmanuil, General Director, “ArmInfo“ News Agency and “East-West” Information Analysis Center (“Vostok-Zapad”); Osokina Irina, Developer and Project Manager, Moscow City Duma Deputy (II convocation), Director, Center for International Programs, Business and Humanitarian Cooperation of INES, President, Global Partnership Network, Candidate of Sociological Science.; Rovenskaya Elena, Program Director, Advanced Systems Analysis, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Ph. D.; Sizov Sergey, Science Diplomacy Officer, IIASA; Stefanovsky Dmitry, Senior Lecturer, System Analysis and Information Technology, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Ph. D.; Stepanova Anastasia, Project Manager, “Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space”, Advanced System Analysis, IIASA, Ph. D.

During the forum the young researchers were divided into three foresight working groups, each of which tried to predict the future of European and Eurasian integration in the Greater Eurasian configuration in three distinct spheres: economy, security and culture.

The young participants had the opportunity to expand their scientific network, learn about the latest developments of economic integration in the Greater Eurasian space from leading international scientists, contribute to and get experience in foresight exercises, debate with high-level policy makers from East and West. The best contributions were distinguished by a certificate with honor enabling further opportunities of collaboration with IIASA (Laxenburg) and INES (Moscow).

During the final day of the forum the young leaders participated in the high-level event “Connectivity, trade, and economic cooperation in the European and Eurasian space”, organized by IIASA on the margins of the 24th OSCE Ministerial Council at the Hofburg Palace in Vienna.

The participants of the session were: Professor Dr. Pavel Kabat, Director General and CEO, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Ambassador Florian Raunig, Head of Task Force, Austrian OSCE Chairmanship 2017; Giulia Manconi, Adviser, Italian Delegation for the Economic and Environmental Dimension, upcoming Italian OSCE Chairmanship; H.E. Tatyana Valovaya, Member of the Board (Minister) for Integration and Macroeconomics, Eurasian Economic Commission; Ignacio Garcia Bercero, Director, Directorate-General for Trade, European Commission; Dr. Felipe Jaramillo, Senior Director for Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment, World Bank Group;  Drs. Erik Regter, Member of the Board, Internationalisation and Digitisation, Rail Cargo Austria AG; Thomas Seifert, Deputy Editor-in-Chief, Wiener Zeitung, Vienna (moderator).

Honorary guests of the event were: H.E. Mr. Vladimir Makei, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Belarus; H.E. Mr. Kairat Abdrakhmanov, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan; H.E. Mr. Kairat Sarybay, Ambassador of Kazakhstan to Austria – Permanent Representative to the International Organizations in Vienna / Chairperson of the OSCE Economic and Environmental Committee.

Recognizing the potential of youth to contribute to economic cooperation and sustainable economic development,  Marina Steiniger, Junior Economist, ifo Center for International Economics – the winner of the contest of the international youth forum “Future of Eurasian and European Integration: Foresight – 2040”, reported on how young people can enhance connectivity and how they perceive future opportunities for closer economic cooperation in the wider European and Eurasian Space.

As a highlight of the forum, the young participants buried a time capsule with an “Appeal to the Youth of 2040”, to be opened in 2040!

The results of the youth foresight groups, supported by input from leading European and Eurasian senior experts and high-level policy makers, will be published in a separate scientific report “Future of Eurasian and European Integration: Foresight-2040”.

Materials of the forum:

IYF 2040 Bio notes Experts and Organizers

IYF 2040 Bio notes Young Participants

IYF 2040 Guideline

IYF 2040 Program

The venue


Opening panel session “Future of Eurasian and European Integration”


Round table “Future of Integration in the Greater Eurasian Space”


Section “Economic Integration”


Section “Security: Development of Stability and Peace”


Socio-cultural integration


Presentations by the foresight working groups


Lectures, seminars, workshops


Coffee breaks and not only…


TIme capsule event – to be opened only in 2040!

High-level event “Connectivity, trade, and economic cooperation in the European and Eurasian space” on the margins of the 24th OSCE Ministerial Council at the Hofburg Palace


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